AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6668; (P) 0.6678; (R1) 0.6696; More...

AUD/USD is losing some momentum as seen in 4H MACD, but there is no clear sign of topping yet. Intraday bias stays mildly on the upside. Current rally from 0.5913 should target 0.6713 fibonacci level. Firm break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, below 0.6630 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) has completed. Rebound from 0.5913 is seen as a corrective move. While stronger rally cannot be ruled out, outlook will remain bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.8006 to 0.5913 at 0.6713 holds. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in W MACD, sustained break of 0.6713 will be a strong sign of bullish trend reversal, and path the way to 0.6941 structural resistance for confirmation.

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