Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2305; (P) 1.2348; (R1) 1.2415; More…
A temporary low is in place at 1.2281 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Outlook stays bearish as long as 1.2490 resistance holds. Below 1.2281 will resume the fall from 1.2919 and target 1.2061 low. However, break of 1.2490 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.
In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.
