Oil Update – Oversupply Likely Continues to Weigh on Oil Prices Next Year
Crude oil prices have declined for 6 consecutive weeks. A confluence of factor has triggered the sharp selloff: concerns that the slowdown of Chinese economic growth would accelerate, reports that Russia would not join OPEC to cut output further, Trump called for Saudi Arabia to raise output, news of...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Bears Raised Bets on Oil
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended November 13, NET LENGTH for crude oil, heating oil and gasoline futures all declined sharply. Selloff in oil prices exacerbated during the reporting week, with the front-month WTI crude oil contract slumping -10.48% while the Brent contract...
Surprising Increase in Crude Inventory Aggravates Weakness in Oil Prices
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products stocks dropped -1.41 mmb to 1252.02 mmb in the week ended November 9. Crude oil inventory jumped +10.27 mmb (consensus: +3.18 mmb) to 442 mmb. Inventories increased in 4 out of of...
Commitments of Traders – Natural Gas in NET LENGTH for the First Time in Over a Year
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended November 6, NET LENGTH for crude oil, heating oil and gasoline futures all continued to drop. Oil prices slumped during the reporting week, with the front-month WTI crude oil contract pluning -6% while the Brent contract was...
Rising Inventory Perpetuates Crude Oil Selloff in the Fifth Week
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products stocks gained +4.83 mmb to 1253.43 mmb in the week ended November 2. Crude oil inventory increased +5.78 mmb (consensus: +2.43 mmb) to 426 mmb. Inventories increased in 3 out of of...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Longs on Oil Continued to Shrink
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended October 30, NET LENGTH for crude oil, heating oil and gasoline futures all continued to drop. Oil prices dived during the reporting week, with the front-month WTI crude oil contract dipping -0.38% while the Brent contract was...
US Crude Oil Inventory Increased for Another Week as Output Soared
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products stocks declined -6.4 mmb to 1248.6 mmb in the week ended October 26. Crude oil inventory increased +3.22 mmb (consensus: +4.11 mmb) to 426 mmb. Inventories increased in 3 out of of...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Traders Trimmed Longs as Oil Price Slump Accelerated
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended October 23, NET LENGTH for crude oil, heating oil and gasoline futures all continued to drop. Oil prices dived during the reporting week, with the front-month WTI crude oil contract sinking -7.63% while the Brent contract was...
US Crude Oil Inventory Jumped Significantly, Fuel Stockpiles Declined
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products stocks declined -7.99 mmb to 1254.99 mmb in the week ended October 19. Crude oil inventory rallied +6.35 mmb (consensus: +3.69 mmb) to 422.79 mmb. Inventories increased in 4 out of of...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Oil Bulls Shied as Price Rally Might be Over
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended October 16, NET LENGTH for crude oil, heating oil and gasoline futures all dropped. This happened in line with the ongoing correction oil prices. Speculative long positions of crude oil futures declined -18 694 contracts, while shorts...
Crude Oil Inventory Surprisingly Gained Despite Falling Production
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products stocks gained +2.99 mmb to 1262.98 mmb in the week ended October 12. Crude oil inventory rallied +6.49 mmb (consensus: +2.17 mmb) to 416.44 mmb. Inventories increased in ALL of of 5...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – NET SHORT for Natural Gas Narrows Further on Winter Demand Hopes
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended October 9, traders turned less bullish on the energy market. NET LENGTH for crude oil, heating oil and gasoline futures dropped. Speculative long positions of crude oil futures declined -20 782 contracts, while shorts added +76 contracts,...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – NET LENGTH for WTI Crude Oil Dropped as Price Peaks
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended October 2, NET LENGTH for crude oil futures dropped as prices were peaking. Meanwhile, NET LENGTH heating oil and gasoline futures increased further, and NET SHORT for natural gas futures declined. Speculative long positions of crude oil...
Crude Oil Price Firmed at 4-Week High Despite Surprising Inventory Build
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products stocks jumped +7.96 mmb to 1248.71 mmb in the week ended September 28. Crude oil inventory rallied +7.98 mmb (consensus: +1.99 mmb) to 403.96 mmb. Inventories increased in 6 out of 5...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Traders Bullish on Energy as Prices Hit Highs
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended September 25, traders turned more bullish on the energy market. NET LENGTH for crude oil, heating oil and gasoline futures rose, while NET SHORT for natural gas futures dropped. Speculative long positions of crude oil futures jumped...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Traders Expect Gasoline Prices to Fall as Driving Season Ends
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended September 4, NET LENGTH for crude oil and heating oil futures rose, while that for gasoline futures dropped. Speculative long positions of crude oil futures jumped +19 043 contracts, while shorts climbed +3 626 contracts higher, resulting...
US Crude Oil Inventory Fell More Than Expected, While Fuel Stockpiles Unexpectedly Soared
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products stocks rose +3.55 mmb to 1226.61 mmb in the week ended September 1. Crude oil inventory declined -4.3 mmb (consensus: -1.29 mmb) to 401.49 mmb. Inventories decreased in 4 out of 5...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Rising Output Might Cap Oil’s Rally
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended August 28, NET LENGTH for crude oil, heating oil and gasoline futures rose, in tandem with higher prices. Speculative long positions of crude oil futures gained +12 322 contracts, while shorts climbed +794 contracts higher, resulting in...
Crude Oil Prices Soared on US Inventory Decline and Expectations of Tighter Market
Crude oil prices extended recent rally, as US inventory dropped more than expected and the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecast oil market to tighten towards year end. The front-month WTI crude oil contract gained +1.43% while the Brent contract rose +1.57%. Both benchmarks rebounded, by +4.26% and 5.56% respectively, in...
CFTC Commitments of Traders : Bearish over Commodities
Traders have turned bearish on the commodity market, amidst concerns over deceleration in Chinese economic growth and US oil production. According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended August 21, traders trimmed speculative long positions of crude oil futures by -13 183 contracts. Meanwhile, they increased...