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Fed Mester upgrades growth forecasts, supports gradual policy path

Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said there’s more momentum in the economy then she anticipated. And, she’s been “upping” her forecasts, now expecting 2.75-3.00% for the year, and “probably close to 3%. She said that “the fiscal policy – the stimulus and the tax cuts – has been a positive for the economy in terms of demand growth and so that’s one of the factors.”

Mester also support the gradual path of monetary accommodation removal. But for now, it’s hard to judge whether the fed funds rate needs to go above neutral rate. But her neutral rate, at 3%, is higher than her fellows.

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