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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 192.64; (P) 193.11; (R1) 193.86; More...
GBP/JPY's rise from 184.35 resumed by breaking through 193.72 resistance today. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 195.95 resistance next. Firm break there will suggest that whole choppy decline from 199.79 has completed. For now, risk will stay on the upside as long as 190.22 support holds, in case of retreat.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 208.09 are seen as a correction to rally from 123.94 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 208.09 at 175.94 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 175.94 will bring deeper fall even still as a correction.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.12; (P) 163.57; (R1) 163.99; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first, but further rally is in favor with 161.57 support intact. On the upside, break of 164.61 will resume the rally from 154.77 to 166.67 resistance next. However, firm break of 161.57 support will indicate near term reversal and target 158.27 support instead.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 152.11 will bring deeper fall even still as a correction.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8443; (P) 0.8468; (R1) 0.8481; More...
EUR/GBP's fall from 0.8737 continues today and intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 0.8461) will argue that whole rise from 0.8221 has already complete. Near term outlook will be turned bearish for 0.8314 support first. On the upside, though, break of 0.8539 resistance will indicate that fall from 0.8737 has completed as a correction.
In the bigger picture, the extended decline from 0.8737 dampened the original bullish view. While a medium term bottom was in place at 0.8221, price actions from there could be a corrective pattern only. Larger down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) might still be in progress. Sustained trading below 55 W EMA (now at 0.8438) will turn favor to this bearish case.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.7510; (P) 1.7547; (R1) 1.7579; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 1.7886 resistance will argue that fall from 1.8553 has completed as a correction at 1.7380. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.8554. However, sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 1.7431) will target 61.8% retracement at 1.6953 next.
In the bigger picture, as long as 1.7062 resistance turned support (2023 high) holds, up trend from up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) should still be in progress. Break of 1.8554 will target 100% projection of 1.4281 to 1.7062 from 1.5963 at 1.8744. However, sustained break of 1.7062 will confirm medium term topping and bring deeper fall back to 1.5963 support.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9327; (P) 0.9344; (R1) 0.9370; More....
Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, above 0.9445 will resume the rebound from 0.9218, either as a corrective move or the third leg of the pattern from 0.9204. However, break of 0.9274 will suggest that that recovery has completed, and bring retest of 0.9204/18 support zone.
In the bigger picture, prior rejection by long-term falling channel resistance (now at 0.9548) retains medium term bearishness. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Firm break of 0.9204 (2024 low) will confirm resumption. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9660 resistance holds.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3916; (P) 1.3930; (R1) 1.3954; More...
Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays mildly on the upside at this point. Rebound from 1.3749 short term bottom would target 55 D EMA (now at 1.4053). Break there will target 1.4150 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.4791 to 1.3749 at 1.4147). For now, risk will remain on the upside as long as 1.3749 holds, in case of retreat.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4791 medium term top could either be a correction to rise from 1.2005 (2021 low), or trend reversal. In either case, further decline is expected as long as 1.4150 resistance turned support holds. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.2005 (2021 low) to 1.4791 at 1.3727 will pave the way back to 61.8% retracement at 1.3069.
AUD/USD Daily Report
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6377; (P) 0.6405; (R1) 0.6439; More...
Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen below 0.6511. On the upside, break of 0.6511 will resume the rally from 0.5913 to 61.8% retracement of 0.6941 to 0.5913 at 0.6548. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, break of 0.6364 support should confirm short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.5913 to 0.6511 at 0.6283.
In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.6441) holds, down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) should resume later to 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 from 0.6941 at 0.5806. However, sustained trading above 55 W EMA will argue that a medium term bottom was already formed, and set up further rebound to 0.6941 resistance instead.
EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1200; (P) 1.1246; (R1) 1.1296; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/USD's remains mildly on the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 1.1053) and possibly below. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1572 at 1.1039 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1380 will suggest that the correction from 1.1572 short term top has completed, and bring retest of 1.1572.
In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.0789) holds.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3236; (P) 1.3279; (R1) 1.3347; More...
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. Risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 1.3442 short term top holds. Below 1.3211 will target 55 D EMA (now at 1.3058). However, sustained break of 1.3433/42 resistance zone will confirm larger up trend resumption.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3433 are seen as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.3051 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2099 could either be resuming the up trend, or the second leg of a consolidation pattern. Overall, GBP/USD should target 1.4248 key resistance (2021 high) on decisive break of 1.3433 at a later stage.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.74; (P) 145.46; (R1) 146.11; More...
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the upside as rebound from 139.87 is in progress. Focus is on 38.2% retracement of 158.86 to 139.87 at 147.12. Rejection by 147.12 will retain near term bearishness. Break of 142.34 support will bring retest of 139.87. However, sustained break of 147.12 will indicate near term reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 151.60.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low), with fall from 158.86 as the third leg. Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.




















