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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

ActionForex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 185.83; (P) 186.74; (R1) 187.31; More...

Range trading continues in GBP/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 187.60 will turn bias to the upside for 188.90. Break there will confirm resumption of larger up trend. Meanwhile, below 185.21 will turn bias to the downside and extend the correction from 188.90.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) in in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.31; (P) 159.80; (R1) 160.20; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral with focus on 160.25 minor resistance. Decisive break there will indicate that rise from 153.15 is ready to resume, and turn bias back to the upside for 161.84 first. Nevertheless, break of 158.06 will now suggest that the rise from 153.15 has completed and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8541; (P) 0.8557; (R1) 0.8584; More...

EUR/GBP is staying in range above 0.8512 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline is expected with 0.8591 resistance intact. On the downside, below 0.8512 will resume the fall from 0.8713 to 0.8491, and then 0.8464 projection level. However, firm break of 0.8591 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8764 is seen as another leg in the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8713 resistance holds. Break of 0.8491 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8491 from 0.8764 at 0.8464.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6531; (P) 1.6566; (R1) 1.6607; More...

Range trading continues in EUR/AUD and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 1.6671 will revive the case that whole correction from 1.7062 has completed with three waves down to 1.6127. Further rally should then be seen to 1.6844 resistance for confirmation. Nevertheless, break of 1.6438 will bring deeper fall back to 1.6127 support instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9340; (P) 0.9352; (R1) 0.9365; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral at this point. Fall from 0.9471 might extend lower through 0.9304. But downside should be contained above 0.9252 low to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 0.9363 minor resistance will argue that the correction from 0.9471 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9471 first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0714; (P) 1.0751; (R1) 1.0778; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside, with focus on 1.0722 structural support. Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 1.0447 has completed. Deeper fall would then be seen to target this low. On the upside, break of 1.0896 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is seen as the second leg. While further rally could cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.0722 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 1.0447 and possibly below.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2488; (P) 1.2566; (R1) 1.2614; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside at this point. Strong Support could be seen from 1.2499 structural support. Break of 1.2628 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for rebound. However, decisive break of 1.2499 will argue that whole rise from 1.2036 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg that's still in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8669; (P) 0.8694; (R1) 0.8731; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral with focus on 0.8727 resistance. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8727 will resume the rebound from 0.8332, and target 61.8% retracement of 0.9243 to 0.8332 at 0.8995. On the downside, break of 0.8550 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8332 low instead.

In the bigger picture, there is prospect of medium term bottoming at 0.8332 considering possible bullish convergence condition in W MACD, and the support from 0.8317 long term fibonacci support. Sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.8672) will affirm this case, and bring stronger rise back towards 0.9243 resistance, even as a corrective move.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.33; (P) 148.62; (R1) 148.96; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral with focus on 148.79 resistance. Firm break there will resume the rally from 140.25 to 151.89/93 key resistance zone. For now, further rise will remain in favor as long as 145.88 holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as a correction to the rally from 127.20, which might have completed at 140.25 already. Firm break of 151.89/93 resistance zone will confirm up trend resumption next target will be 61.8% projection of 127.20 to 151.89 from 140.25 at 155.50. This will now remain the favored case as long as 140.25 support holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3487; (P) 1.3515; (R1) 1.3570; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.3540 will resume the rise from 1.3176. That will also revive that case that whole fall from 1.3897 has completed, and target this resistance. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.3357 support will argue that rebound from 1.3176 has completed, and target this low for resuming whole fall from 1.3897.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.