Sample Category Title
USDCAD Moves South with Weak Momentum; Immediate Support at 200-Day SMA
USDCAD is easing with weak momentum below the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs) but is still above the long-term ascending trend line.
According to the technical indicators, the MACD is losing ground below its trigger and zero lines, while the RSI failed several times to surpass above the neutral threshold of 50 and is now pointing downwards. In trend indicators, the 20- and 40-day SMAs are getting closer to posting a bearish crossover if the price continues the negative movement.
Should selling forces strengthen, the 200-day SMA at 1.2720 will be a strong support level for the bulls, while the uptrend line around 1.2600 may keep the bias on the positive side. Penetrating the aforementioned levels, the 1.2517 barrier could next provide some footing ahead of the 1.2400-1.2450 area.
Alternatively, a close above the 1.2820 barrier and the short-term SMAs will brighten the broader outlook again, pushing the price towards the 1.2935 level and even higher until the 1.3175 resistance. Beyond that, the rally may gear up to the 20-month high of 1.3225.
In brief, USDCAD is facing a weakening bearish bias, where a drop below the 200-day SMA and the diagonal line is expected to enhance selling interest.
GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.20; (P) 164.16; (R1) 165.45; More...
GBP/JPY's steep decline suggests that corrective pattern from 168.67 has started another falling leg. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 160.37 support first. Decisive break there will argue that deeper fall is underway towards 155.57 support next. On the upside, though, break of 163.88 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.
In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.73; (P) 137.54; (R1) 138.69; More....
EUR/JPY's decline continues today and hits as low as 135.53 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for deeper fall to 134.11 medium term support next. At this point, price actions from 144.26 are still viewed as a corrective pattern only. Strong support should be seen above 134.11 to complete the correction. On the upside, above 137.31 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.
In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8344; (P) 0.8374; (R1) 0.8402; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside for the moment. Current development affirms the case of rejection by 0.8697 fibonacci level. Deeper fall should be seen to retest 0.8720 low. On the upside, above 0.8424 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 0.8585 resistance holds.
In the bigger picture, attention remains on 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will affirm the case that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend itself. Further rally would then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. However, rejection by 0.8697 will confirm medium term bearishness for another fall through 0.8201.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4523; (P) 1.4571; (R1) 1.4630; More...
EUR/AUD is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD, but there is no sign of bottoming yet. Current fall from 1.5396 should target a test on 1.4318 low next. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, break of 1.4666 minor resistance will turn intraday bias to the upside for recovery first.
In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.5354 support turned resistance, as well as 55 week EMA (now at 1.5378), maintain medium term bearishness. That is, larger down trend from 1.9799 is not completed yet. Break of 1.4318 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.5396 resistance holds.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9694; (P) 0.9750; (R1) 0.9791; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current down trend should target 0.9650 long term projection level next. On the upside, break of 0.9948 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture,long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2778; (P) 1.2823; (R1) 1.2852; More...
Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside at this point. Deeper fall should be seen towards 1.2516 key support. On the upside, above 1.2945 minor resistance will revive near term bullishness, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3222 instead.
In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high) should have completed at 1.2005, after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Rise from there should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3650. This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.2516 support holds.
AUD/USD Daily Report
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6958; (P) 0.6986; (R1) 0.7017; More...
Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the upside at this point. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 0.6965) will pave the way to 0.7282 resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 0.6858 minor support will argue that the rebound from 0.6910 is over. Intraday bias will then be back on the downside for retesting 0.6680 low.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8006 (2021 high) could still be a corrective pattern to rise from 0.5506 (2020 low). But current downside acceleration, as seen in weekly MACD), is raising the chance that it's a bearish impulsive move. In either case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.7282 resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.6461.
EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0129; (P) 1.0182; (R1) 1.0249; More...
EUR/USD is still bounded in familiar range and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, above 1.0277 minor resistance will target 1.0348 resistance first. Break there will target channel resistance at 1.0469. on the downside, break of 1.0095 minor support will bring retest of 0.9951 low instead.
In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 0.8694. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0773 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2124; (P) 1.2158; (R1) 1.2212; More...
GBP/USD's rise from 1.1759 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.2405 resistance first. Firm break there will target 1.2666 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.2019 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.1759 low instead.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2666 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.2986).



















