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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

ActionForex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.31; (P) 141.69; (R1) 142.38; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside. Firm break of 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 139.99 from 132.63 at 142.28 will extend the current up trend to 100% projection at 148.25 next. On the downside, below 139.82 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. Firm break there will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8468; (P) 0.8527; (R1) 0.8561; More...

Range trading continues in EUR/GBP and intraday bias remains neutral. With 0.8365 support intact, further rise is in favor. On the upside, break of 0.8617 will resume rise from 0.8201 medium term bottom to 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level. However, break of 0.8365 will dampen this bullish view, and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4741; (P) 1.4823; (R1) 1.4885; More...

Further fall is expected in EUR/AUD with 1.4965 minor resistance intact. Deeper decline should be seen to 1.4597 support. Firm break there should confirm that rebound from 1.4318 has completed at 1.5277. Next target is a retest on 1.4318 low. However, on the upside, break of 1.4965 will dampen this bearish view and turn bias back to the upside for 1.5277 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5354 support turned resistance holds, larger down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) is still expected to continue. On resumption, next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). However, firm break of 1.5354 will indicate medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 1.6434 key resistance.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0379; (P) 1.0408; (R1) 1.0443; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside for 1.0413 resistance. Firm break there will resume whole rebound from 0.9970, for 1.0610 structural resistance. On the downside, below 1.0327 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2498; (P) 1.2558; (R1) 1.2593; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the downside a this point. Fall from 1.3075 should target 1.2401 support first. Decisive break of 1.2401 support will argue that whole rebound from 1.2005 has completed, after rejection by 1.3022 fibonacci resistance. Deeper fall would then be seen to retest this low. On the upside, above 1.2685 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger recovery.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7177; (P) 0.7211; (R1) 0.7266; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral as consolidation form 0.7282 is extending. Further rise will remain in favor as long as 0.7034 support holds. Current development raised the chance that whole fall corrective fall from 0.8005 has completed at 0.6828. Above 0.7282 will extend the rebound to 0.7660 resistance for confirmation. However, break of 0.7034 will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 0.6828 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8006 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.5506 (2020 low). Deeper fall could be seen to 50% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.6756. This coincides with 100% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7105 from 0.7660 at 0.6760. Strong support is expected from 0.6756/60 cluster to contain downside to complete the correction. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.7660 resistance will confirm that such corrective pattern has completed, and larger up trend is ready to resume.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.00; (P) 132.50; (R1) 133.13; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside and current up trend is in progress for 61.8% projection of 114.40 to 131.34 from 126.35 at 136.81 next. On the downside, below 130.97 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral to bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, current rally is seen as part of the long term up trend form 75.56 (2011 low). Next target is 100% projection of 75.56 (2011 low) to 125.85 (2015 high) from 98.97 at 149.26, which is close to 147.68 (1998 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 126.35 support holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9637; (P) 0.9675; (R1) 0.9745; More...

USD/CHF's pull back from 1.0063 should have completed at 0.9543. Intraday bias stays mildly on the upside for further rally to retest 1.0064 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. In case of another fall, strong support is still expected from 61.8% retracement of 0.9193 to 1.0063 at 0.9525 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 1.0237/0342 resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will extend long term range trading with another falling leg.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2483; (P) 1.2541; (R1) 1.2652; More...

GBP/USD is staying in range trading and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.2429 support suggest that rebound from 1.2154 has completed. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for resting this low. On the upside, above 1.2666 will target 55 day EMA (now at 1.2706) and above.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2999 support turned resistance holds. On resumption, next target is 1.1409 low.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0665; (P) 1.0689 (R1) 1.0727; More...

Range trading continues in EUR/USD and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 1.0626 minor support will indicate rejection by 55 day EMA, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0348. On the upside, break of 1.0786, and sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 1.0757) will target 1.0935 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.0339 long term support (2017 low). Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 1.0090. However, firm break of 1.0805 support turned resistance will delay this bearish case and bring medium term corrective rebound first.