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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8910; (P) 0.8926; (R1) 0.8952; More...

No change in EUR/GBP's outlook. Consolidation from 0.9030 short term top is still in progress. In case of deeper pull back, downside should contained by 0.8854 support to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 61.8% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.9043 will pave the way to retest 0.9305 key resistance. However, sustained break of 0.8854 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). The corrective structure of the fall from 0.9305 to 0.8620 is raising the chance that rise from 0.8312 to 0.9305 is an impulsive move. But we're not too confident on it yet. In any case, we'd stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5644; (P) 1.5681; (R1) 1.5713; More....

EUR/AUD's recovery stalled at 1.5725 and retreated. Intraday bias is turned neutral again with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. On the upside, above 1.5725 will extend the rebound form 1.5578 to retest 1.5888 high. On the downside, though, below 1.5578 will resume the fall from 1.5888 to 61.8% retracement of 1.5271 to 1.5888 at 1.5507.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 1.5271 was somewhat weaker than expected. EUR/AUD also failed to sustain above 55 day EMA and hints on some underlying bearishness. Though, for now, as long as 1.5271 support holds, medium term rise from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still mildly in favor to extend through 1.6189 high, to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 1.5271 will complete a head and shoulder top pattern (ls: 1.5770, h: 1.6189, rs: 1.5888). That would indicate medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1243; (P) 1.1275; (R1) 1.1306; More...

As long as 1.1354 minor resistance holds, further decline is expected in EUR/CHF to key support zone at 1.1154/98. We'd expect strong support from there to contain downside to complete the whole decline from 1.2004. Meanwhile, considering mild bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1354 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound should then be seen towards 1.1489 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone, 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1312; (P) 1.1334 (R1) 1.1367; More.....

EUR/USD recovers notably after hitting 1.1300. But still as long as 1.1430 minor resistance holds, further decline is expected, to 61.8% projection of 1.2413 to 1.1509 from 1.1745 at 1.1186. Note that it's a cluster level with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186. Hence, we'll tentatively look for short term bottoming around 1.1186. Meanwhile, considering mildly bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1430 will indicate short term bottoming. In that case, lengthier consolidation would be seen first before down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 1.2555 medium term is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186. Note again that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. That carries some long term bearish implications. Sustained break of 1.1186 could pave the way back to retest 1.0339 low. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1851 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

AUDUSD short-term Elliott wave view suggests that the bounce to 0.7455 high ended intermediate wave (B). Down from there, the pair has broken to new lows confirming the intermediate wave (C) lower. The internals of the decline is unfolding as impulse where Minor wave 1, 3 & 5 are expected to unfold in 5 waves structure. While Minor wave 2 & 4 can be can be any 3 wave corrective pattern i.e either double, triple three etc.

Down from 0.7455 high, Minor wave 1 is proposed complete at 0.7201 low. The internals of that decline showing sub-division of 5 waves structure in lesser degree cycles. Where Minute wave ((i)) ended in 5 waves structure at 0.7431. The Minute wave ((ii)) bounce ended at 0.7445. Then Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 0.7249 low in lesser degree 5 waves structure. Up from there, the bounce to 0.7299 high ended Minute wave ((iv)). Below from there, the decline to 0.7201 low ended Minute wave ((v)) in lesser degree 5 waves structure and also completed Minor wave 1 of (C). Above from there, the pair is doing a Minor wave 2 recovery & expected to fail in 3, 7 or 11 swings as far as a pivot at 0.7455 high stays intact for further downside. We don’t like buying the pair & prefer more downside against 0.7455 high.

AUDUSD 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2660; (P) 1.2700; (R1) 1.2737; More...

GBP/USD is starting to lose downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But for now, as long as 1.2826 minor resistance holds, deeper decline is expected. Current fall is part of the down trend from 1.4376. Next target is 161.8% projection of 1.3362 to 1.2956 from 1.3212 at 1.2555. Though, considering mild bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.2826 will indicate short term bottoming and bring lengthier consolidation.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4141). Current downside acceleration argues that it's possibly resuming long term down trend. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3212 resistance holds. Retest of 1.1946 should be seen next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9914; (P) 0.9949; (R1) 0.9972; More....

Sideway trading in USD/CHF continues, inside range of 0.9894/9984. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 0.9984 will resume the rebound from 0.9866 to retest 1.0067 high. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 0.9186. On the downside, below 0.9894 might extend the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 with another falling leg. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending with another leg. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we'd expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 fibonacci level will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.30; (P) 110.87; (R1) 111.30; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point and outlook is unchanged. Choppy decline from 113.17 is seen as a correction. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 111.42 will target 112.14 minor resistance first. Break will argue that larger rally is possibly resuming for above 113.17.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7212; (P) 0.7230; (R1) 0.7258; More...

With the current recovery, a temporary low is in place at 0.7201 in AUD/USD. Intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidations first. Upside should be limited by 0.7346 support turned resistance for fall resumption. On the downside, below 0.7201 will extend the larger decline from 0.8135, to 100% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7309 from 0.7452 at 0.7085.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 (2016 low) is seen as a corrective move that should be completed at 0.8135. Fall from there should now have a test on 0.6826. There is prospect of resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). But we'll look at downside momentum to assess at a later stage. On the upside, break of 0.7452 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3068; (P) 1.3122; (R1) 1.3194; More...

Despite breaching 1.3170 minor resistance, there was no follow through buying in USD/CAD. And it quickly retreats. Intraday bias stays neutral first. Still, as long as 1.3049 minor support holds, we're favoring the bullish case. That is, correction from 1.3385 should have completed with three waves down to 1.2961. On the upside, firm break of 1.3170 will target 3289 resistance first. Break there will likely resume larger rise from 1.2061 through 1.3385 high. On the downside, though, break of 1.3049 minor support will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 1.2961 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as channel support (now at 1.2950) holds, we're holding to the bullish view. That is, fall from 1.4689 (2015 high) has completed at 1.2061, ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. Further rally should be seen for 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and above. However, sustained break of the channel support will argue that rise from 1.2061 has completed and will bring deeper fall to 1.2526 support to confirm.