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Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.85; (P) 120.31; (R1) 121.12; More...

EUR/JPY's strong rebound and break of 120.54 minor resistance argues that corrective fall from 124.08 is completed already. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 123.30/124.08 resistance zone. Break will resume the rise from 109.20 and target 126.09 key resistance next. In case of another fall, we'd still expect strong support from 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we'd expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Nonetheless, decisive break of 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) will argue that rise from 109.20 is completed and turn outlook bearish for 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.38; (P) 141.09; (R1) 142.17; More...

Rebound from 138.53 extended and the break of 141.96 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 144.77 is finished at 138.53 already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 144.77 resistance first. Current development argues that price actions from 148.42 is possibly developing into a sideway pattern, with rise from 136.44 as the second leg. Above 144.77 will target a test on 148.42 high. On the downside, below 140.89 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 138.53 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern with a test on 122.36 low next. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8498; (P) 0.8522; (R1) 0.8552; More...

EUR/GBP is still bounded in range of 0.84689/8643 and intraday bias remains neutral. We maintain that price actions from 0.8460 is corrective in nature. And fall from 0.8851 is still in progress. Indeed, such decline is seen as is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 0.9304. Break of 0.8469 will target 0.8303 low next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. But we'd expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Overall, the corrective pattern would take some time to complete before long term up trend resumes at a later stage. Break of 0.9304 will pave the way to 0.9799 (2008 high).

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3930; (P) 1.3985; (R1) 1.4027; More...

With 1.4075 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is expected in EUR/AUD even though downside momentum is diminishing. Current fall from 1.4721 is seen as part of the larger decline from 1.6587. We'd expect strong support from 1.3671 to contain downside and bring reversal, possibly on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. On the upside, above 1.4075 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. Break of 1.4289 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 1.4721 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a consolidative pattern. While further fall cannot be ruled out, we'd expect strong support above 1.3671 to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 1.1602 should not be finished and will resume later. Break of 1.4721 resistance will indicate completion of such correction and outlook bullish for retesting 1.6587 high.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0645; (P) 1.0664; (R1) 1.0690; More...

Despite dipping to 1.0631, EUR/CHF quickly recovered and intraday bias is turned neutral again. Deeper fall is still in favor as long as 1.0706 resistance holds. Below 1.0631 will target 1.0620 key support level. Decisive break of 1.0620 will confirm resumption of whole fall from 1.1198. In that case, next downside target will be 1.0485 fibonacci level. On the upside, break of 1.0706 minor resistance will raise the chance of medium term reversal and turn focus back to 1.0749 and then 1.0897 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7602; (P) 0.7632; (R1) 0.7655; More...

AUD/USD is staying in tight range below 0.7695 and intraday bias stays neutral. Lost of upside momentum is seen in bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD. While another rise cannot be ruled out, we'd expect strong resistance from 0.7777/7833 resistance zone to limit upside and bring near term reversal. On the downside, break of 0.7510 minor support will indicate that rise from 0.7158 has completed already and turn bias back to the downside for this key near term support level.

In the bigger picture, we're still treading price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seek to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8205) and above.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3105; (P) 1.3136; (R1) 1.3178; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.3387 resistance will confirm that fall from 1.3598 has completed at 1.2968. And more importantly, rise from 1.2460 is still in progress. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.3598 and above. On the downside, below 1.2968 will revive the case that rise from 1.2460 is completed and turn outlook bearish for this low. Overall, choppy rise from 1.2460 is still seen as a corrective move.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg could be completed at 1.3598 and fall from there is tentatively seen as the third leg. Break of 1.2460 will target 50% retracement of 0.9460 to 1.4689 at 1.2075 before completing the correction. In case of another rise, we'd look for reversal signal above 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0634; (P) 1.0671 (R1) 1.0693; More.....

At this point, EUR/USD is still holding above 1.0619 minor support. Intraday bias stays neutral first. Choppy rise from 1.0339 is seen as a correction. Hence, in case of another rise, upside should be limited by 1.0872 resistance and bring fall resumption eventually. Break of 1.0619 will argue that the corrective rise is completed and turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.0339 low.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is in progress. Such down trend is expected to extend to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2462; (P) 1.2522; (R1) 1.2553; More...

GBP/USD is still bounded in range of 1.2346/2705. At this point, intraday bias remains neutral. Price actions from 1.1946 are viewed as a consolidation, no change in this view. In case of another rise, we'd expect upside to be limited by 1.2774 to bring larger down trend resumption. On the downside, below 1.2346 will revive the case that such consolidation is completed at 1.2705 already. In that case, intraday bias will turn back to the downside for retesting 1.1946 low.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term bottoming yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9961; (P) 0.9990; (R1) 1.0043; More.....

USD/CHF's recovery from 0.9860 continues but it's staying below 1.0043 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. With 1.0043 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is expected. Current fall from 1.0342 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0327. Below 0.9860 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9443 to 1.0342 at 0.9786 and below. On the upside, break of 1.0043 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, rejection from 1.0327 resistance suggests that consolidation pattern from there is still in progress. Fall from 1.0342 is seen as the third leg and retest of 0.9443/9548 support zone could be seen. But we'd expect strong support from there to contain downside. At this point, we're still expecting the larger rally to resume later to 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359, after the consolidation completes.

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