EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5740; (P) 1.5794; (R1) 1.5880; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside at this point. Fall from 1.6357 should have completed earlier than expected at 1.5346. Further rise should be seen to 1.5984 support turned resistance first. Break will bring retest of 1.6357 high. On the downside, break of 1.5706 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that 1.6357 is a medium term top. But the strong rebound ahead of 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313) suggests price actions from 1.6357 are developing into sideway consolidation, rather than a deep correction. The range of 1.5271/6357 is likely set for the consolidation. And we don’t expect a break of the range any time soon. But decisive break of 1.6357 will resume the larger up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) to 1.6587 (2015 high).

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