EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.7298; (P) 1.7528; (R1) 1.7648; More

EUR/AUD’s decline from 1.9799 extended further and breached 61.8% retracement of 1.6085 to 1.9799 at 1.7504. There is no clear sign of bottoming yet. Sustained trading below 1.7504 will raise the chance of larger reversal and pave the way to 1.6085/6593 support zone. Nevertheless, break of 1.8124 resistance will suggest that the pull back has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.9799 high.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is in progress and further rally would be seen to 2.1127 (2008 high) and possibly to 161.8% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6597 from 1.3524 at 2.1706. On the downside, for now, touching of 1.6597 resistance turned support (2015 high) is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish even in case of deep pull back.

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