EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6789; (P) 1.6834; (R1) 1.6905; More

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.7194 resistance should confirm short term bottoming at 1.6538. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.6538 at 1.7748 next. However, sustained break of 1.6538 will resume the fall from 1.9799 and carries larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 1.9799 is deep, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. EUR/AUD is still holding on to 1.6597 (2015 high) cluster support, with 38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.6668. Larger rise from 1.1602 (2012 low) is in progress and would resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.6597 suggest bearish reversal.

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