EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4715; (P) 1.4911; (R1) 1.5019; More

EUR/AUD drops to as low as 1.4561 so far today and intraday bias stays on the downside. Next target is 161.8% projection of 1.6343 to 1.5354 from 1.6223 at 1.4476. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.3624 long term target zone. On the upside, above 1.4987 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.9799 is seen as a long term impulsive move. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). Some support could be seen there to bring interim rebound. But overall, break of 1.5354 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

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