EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6143; (P) 1.6191; (R1) 1.6237; More

EUR/AUD’s decline continues today and break of 1.6134 support confirms resumption of whole fall from 1.6785. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 100% projection of 1.6785 to 1.6134 from 1.6513 at 1.5862. On the upside, above 1.6207 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.6513 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top is possibly in place at 1.6785 already, on bearish divergence condition in D MACD. Fall from there is seen as correcting whole up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.6513 resistance holds, to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5828. Strong support could be seen there to complete the first leg of the corrective pattern.

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