EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0789; (P) 1.0809; (R1) 1.0835; More

EUR/CHF recovered after dropping to 1.0782 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 1.0860 resistance holds. Larger down trend should have just resumed. Break of 1.0782 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0648. On the upside, above 1.0860 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn bias to the upside for recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

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