EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1335; (P) 1.1379; (R1) 1.1455; More….

EUR/USD’s break of 1.1421 resistance argues that fall from 1.1814 has completed at 1.1302 already, ahead of 1.1300 key support, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 1.1621 resistance and possibly above. For now, price actions from 1.1300 are seen as a consolidation pattern. Hence, upside should be limited by 1.1814 to bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, break of 1.300 will resume whole down trend from 1.2555 and target 1.1186 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

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