Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1277; (P) 1.1301; (R1) 1.1322; More…..

EUR/USD drops notably today but it’s staying above 1.1250 minor support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.1250 will suggest that corrective recovery from 1.1183 has completed already. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside. Further break of 1.1176 low will resume the down trend from 1.2555. On the upside, break of 1.1324 will extend the rebound to 1.1448 resistance. In that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 1.1448/1569 to limit upside.

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In the bigger picture, EUR/USD has been losing downside momentum around 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. But for now, there is no clear sign of medium term reversal yet. Downside from 1.2555 is expected to resume sooner or later as long as 1.1569 structural resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.1186. could pave the way back to 1.0339 low.


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