EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2069; (P) 1.2114; (R1) 1.2150; More

EUR/USD’s rise and break of 1.2157 minor resistance reaffirms the case that pull back from 1.2348 has completed at 1.2052. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.2348 high. However, decisive break of 1.2052 will resume the correction from 1.2348. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.2348 at 1.1887.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. We’d be alerted to topping sign around 1.2516/55. But sustained break there will carry long term bullish implications.

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