Mon, Jun 21, 2021 @ 22:20 GMT

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1897; (P) 1.1923 (R1) 1.1944; More

EUR/USD jumps sharply in early US session but it’s staying below 1.2069 resistance so far. Intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen. Another fall cannot be ruled out yet as the consolidation extends. But after all, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1661 holds. Break of 1.2069 will extend larger rise from 1.0339 to next key fibonacci level at 1.2516.

In the bigger picture, an important bottom was formed at 1.0339 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.1774) will pave the way to key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. While rise from 1.0339 is strong, there is no confirmation that it’s developing into a long term up trend yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1295 support holds, in case of pull back.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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