Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2001; (P) 1.2046 (R1) 1.2079; More

A temporary top is in place at 1.2091 in EUR/USD with today’s retreat. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. But outlook remains bullish as long as 1.1822 support holds. Above 1.2091 will extend larger rise fro 1.0339 and target next key fibonacci level at 1.2516.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 1.0339 is still in progress for 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. However, it should be noted that there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, such rebound from 1.0399 could be a correction. And the long term fall fro 1.6039 (2008 high) could resume. Hence, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside. But after all, break of 1.1661 is needed to indicate medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of pull back.

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EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart


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