EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9600; (P) 0.9675; (R1) 0.9814; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral at this point. Consolidation from 0.9534 could extend. But upside should be limited by 0.9863 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. Break of 0.9534 will resume larger down trend, and target 161.8% projection of 1.0368 to 0.9863 from 1.0197 at 0.9380 next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 0.8694. In any case, break of 1.0197 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even with strong rebound.

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