EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0516; (P) 1.0566; (R1) 1.0595; More

A temporary low is formed at 1.0532 with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral first. While fall from 1.1032 might extend, strong support could be seen around 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463 to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. Break of 1.0668 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance and above. However, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

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