Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1635; (P) 1.1657; (R1) 1.1692; More….
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside at this point. Fall from 1.1917 should have completed at 1.1467. Further rise should be seen to 1.1727 resistance first. Firm break there will bring retest of 1.1917 high. Nevertheless, below 1.1590 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn bias neutral again.
In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.1917, just ahead of 1.2 key psychological level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.1345) holds, the up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is still in favor to continue. Decisive break of 1.2000 will carry larger bullish implications. However, sustained trading below 55 W EMA will argue that rise from 0.9534 has completed as a three wave corrective bounce, and keep long term outlook bearish.
