Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.68; (P) 131.36; (R1) 132.04; More…

GBP/JPY recovers with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. But further fall is expected as long as 133.17 minor resistance holds. Corrective rebound from 123.94 should have completed and deeper fall would be seen back to retest this low. However, above 133.17 might extend the rebound to 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92.

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In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

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