Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3347; (P) 1.3403; (R1) 1.3444; More….
GBP/USD recovers mildly today but it’s staying in corrective pattern from 1.3651. Intraday bias remains neutral first. We’d continue to expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 1.2773 to 1.3651 at 1.3316 to contain downside and bring rally resumption. Break of 1.3651 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3835 support turned resistance next. Break there will target 55 month EMA (now at 1.4405).
In the bigger picture, current development argues that the long term trend in GBP/USD has reversed. That is, a key bottom was formed back in 1.1946 on bullish convergence condition in monthly MACD. Current rise from 1.1946 will target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466 next. In any case, medium term outlook will now stay bull