GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2445; (P) 1.2491; (R1) 1.2526; More

GBP/USD continues to be bounded in range below 1.2705 and intraday bias remains neutral. As noted before, rise from 1.1986 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.1946. Hence, in case of another rise, we’d expect upside to be limited by 1.2774 resistance and bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 1.2411 minor support will argue that rise from 1.1986 is completed and turn bias to the downside for 1.1946 low.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term bottoming yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

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