Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3061; (P) 1.3082; (R1) 1.3119; More…
USD/CAD’s rebound from 1.2886 extends further to as high as 1.3116 so far and broke near term channel resistance. Intraday bias remains mildly on the upside for 1.3173 resistance. Sustained trading above the channel is the first sign of bullish reversal and break of 1.3173 should confirm. In that case, further rally should be seen back to retest 1.3385 high. On the downside, however, below 1.3019 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2879 key fibonacci level again.
In the bigger picture, focus is now on 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3385 at 1.2879. Decisive break there will affirm the case of medium term reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2567 and below. That will also put key long term support at 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048 into focus. On the upside, break of 1.3173 resistance will revive the bullish case and target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and above.
