USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3485; (P) 1.3558; (R1) 1.3596; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral first. With 1.3504 minor support intact, rebound from 1.3315 is still in favor to extend higher. On the upside, break of 1.3686 temporary top will target 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.3315 at 1.3831. However, break of 1.3504 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.3315 low. Decisive break of 1.3315 will resume whole decline from 1.4667.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.4667 after failing 1.4689 (2016 high). Fall from 1.4667 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689. Deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement at 1.3056 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3855 support turned resistance holds. However, sustained break of 1.3855 will turn focus back to 1.4689 key resistance.

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