Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0087; (P) 1.0124; (R1) 1.0156; More…..
USD/CHF lost momentum again after hitting 1.0169 and retreated since then. Intraday bias is turned neutral again. Further rise cannot be ruled out with 1.0008 support intact. However, based on neutral medium term outlook, we’d be cautious on topping at around 1.0342. This is supported by the corrective structure of the rise from 0.9860 so far. On the downside, break of 1.0008, however, will indicate completion of the rebound from 0.9860. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.9860.
In the bigger picture, prior rejection from 1.0327 resistance argues that USD/CHF is staying in a medium term sideway pattern. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone. Meanwhile firm break of 1.0342 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.