USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9362; (P) 0.9408; (R1) 0.9477; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.0037 to 0.9254 at 0.9553 first. At this point, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from 0.9553 to limit upside and bring decline resumption. On the downside, below 0.9339 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.9254. Nonetheless, firm break of 0.9553 will bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9627).

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 0.9420 support suggests that fall from 1.0342 is developing into a medium term down trend. Deeper fall should be seen to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9420 from 1.0037 at 0.9115. Break will target 161.8% projection at 0.8545. In any case, break of 0.9640 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even in case of strong rebound.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

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