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CFTC Commitments of Traders – Traders Trimmed Bets on USD as Fed Funds Rate Cut Approaches

As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended July 17, NET LENGTH in USD Index added +276 contracts to 27 332. Speculative long positions slid -27 contracts while short positions dropped -303 contracts during the week.

Concerning European currencies, NET SHORT for EUR futures dropped -4 514 contracts to 31 351. NET SHORT for GBP futures rose 3 375 contracts to 76 357. Speculative long positions slipped -1 042 contracts while speculative shorts gained +2 333 contracts for the week. GBP remains volatile as overwhelming support for Boris Johnson as the next Prime Minister has increased the likelihood of a no- deal Brexit, although this is no our base scenario.

On safe-haven currencies, Net SHORT for CHF futures gained +1 304 contracts to 11 732. NET SHORT for JPY futures rose +7 729 contracts to 11 380 during the week. Speculative long positions fell -2 441 contracts while shorts gained +5 288 contracts.

On commodity currencies, NET SHORT for AUD futures dropped -1 431 contracts to 52 576. Speculative long positions decreased -7 contracts while shorts dropped -1 438 contracts. Separately, NET SHORT for NZD fell -4 886 contracts to 17 319 contracts last week. NET LENGTH for CAD futures surged +11 738 contracts to 20 964. Recent bullish sentiment about the loonie has been driven by policy divergence.

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