Daily Pivots: (S1) 103.32; (P) 103.50; (R1) 103.66; More..
With 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line, intraday bias is turned neutral first. Overall, USD/JPY is still staying in the falling channel that started from 111.71. Further decline could still be seen. Below 103.31 will bring retest of 102.58 first. Break there will extend the down trend to 101.18 low. However, on the upside, break of 104.39 and sustained trading above the channel resistance will argue that the down trend from 111.71 has finally completed. Stronger rise would be seen to 105.67 resistance for confirmation.
In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Hence, there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. The down trend could still extend through 101.18 low. On the upside, break of 105.67 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.
