Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2569; (P) 1.2630; (R1) 1.2663; More…
GBP/USD’s break of 1.2602 support suggests that a short term top is already formed at 1.2715, on bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias is back on the downside for near term channel support (now at 1.2424). Firm break there will argue that whole rebound from 1.2099 has completed as a correction. On the upside, though, break of 1.2715 will resume the rebound to 1.2810 resistance next.
In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) should have already completed at 1.3433 (2024 high), and the trend has reversed. Further fall is now expected as long as 1.2810 resistance holds. Deeper decline should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3433 at 1.1528, even as a corrective move. However, firm break of 1.2810 will dampen this bearish view and bring retest of 1.3433 high instead.
. Firm break there will argue that whole rebound from 1.2099 has completed as a correction. On the upside, though, break of 1.2715 will resume the rebound to 1.2810 resistance next.){kind=link}