Sat, Jan 18, 2020 @ 08:22 GMT
Markets sentiments generally stabilized today as it seems that US and China are still will to continue trade negotiations. Nevertheless, otherwise some pleasing words, there is nothing concrete, not even a scheduled meeting. Further decline in German 10-year yield,...
Global markets are in mild risk averse mode on concerns over US-China trade talk. That came after Trump said he will not meet Chinese President Xi this month to complete the trade agreement. Yen and Swiss Franc are trading...
Dollar's rally extends in early US session after solid economic data. Headline durable goods orders rose 1.7% in August, versus consensus of 1.0%. Ex-transport orders rose 0.2%, in line with expectation. Dollar traders are keenly looking forward to US President Donald Trump's announcement of tax reform (or just tax cuts?). It's reported that corporate tax rate would be brought down from 35% to 20% level. Top individual income tax rate will also brought down from 39.6% to 35%. Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech in Indianapolis later in the afternoon to promote his plan.
Dollar and Yen trade generally higher today as Asian markets turned mixed. The strong rally in Asian stocks yesterday was based on optimism on US-China trade negotiation. But such optimism has quickly turn into cautiousness. Another round of negotiation...
Yen jumps sharply this week and is extending it's broad based rally today. There are a couple reasons noted in the markets for the move. The sudden escalation in tension in Middle East, between Qatar and other nations, is seen a a factor. The uncertainties over election in UK is another one. However, we'd believe Yen's strength is more concerned with the outcome of former FBI director James Comey and the impact on US President Donald Trump. And investors are getting increasingly impatient on the lack of progress in Trump's tax reform and economic policies. This is clearly seen in the sharp fall in US bond yields and persistent weakness in Dollar.
Sterling weakens generally today after a known BoE hawk Michael Saunders surprisingly turned dovish. The Pound will likely end the weak as the worst performing one. Euro is trying to recover but there is little committed buying so far....
Sterling is given a mild lift after EU grants UK Article 50 delay till October 31. Even though it's still uncertain how Prime Minister Theresa May could get the Withdrawal Agreement through the parliament, the cliff-edge is at least...
BOC left the policy rate unchanged at 1.75% yesterday and maintained a neutral tone. Policymakers turned more cautious about the impact of trade tensions on economic activities and noted that global interest rates have been lower over the past...
The global markets turned into consolidative mode, digesting recent losses. DOW attempted to rebound to 25293.96 but closed down -0.08% at 24893.35. Nikkei is trading up 0.35% at the time of writing but lacks follow through momentum. An important development to watch is that 10 year yield closed sharply higher by 0.076 at 2.845. Monday's high at 2.862 is now back in radar. And a strong break there will release recent up trend in yields, and could prompt another round of selloff in stocks. In the currency markets, Yen remains the strongest major currency for the week and is back pressing this week's low against Europeans. Dollar follow as the second strongest and has picked up from momentum overnight. New Zealand Dollar trades broadly lower after RBNZ stands pat and maintained a neutral stance. The Kiwi is so far the weakest one for the week.
While the US markets tumbled for another day overnight, Asian markets showed their own resilience and turned positive after initial pressure. Nikkei closed up 0.46% at 22694.66. Japanese 10 year JGB yield is also above 0.15 at 0.151, up...
Dollar has been relatively today and risks of escalation in trade war diminished. Deeper selling is seen after inflation data showed larger than expected fall in core CPI in August. Though, the greenback is currently underperformed by Yen due...
Risk appetite continued to be generally strong. DOW closed up 205.6 pts, or 0.81% overnight to 25574.73. S&P 500 and NASDAQ were up 0.7% and 0.8% respectively. All hit new record highs. Positive sentiments continue in Asian session with gains in China and HK markets even though Nikkei weakens mildly on recent Yen strength. WTI crude oil also extended recent rally to as high as 64.77 and is set to test 65 handle. Gold is firm, consolidation around 1320, as Dollar is back under pressure. The greenback will look into today's CPI reading for direction.
SNB left target range for the three-month Libor unchanged at between -1.25% and -0.25%, and maintained a dovish tone. Apart from pledging to intervene the “highly valued” Swiss franc, the central bank downgraded its inflation forecasts. However, this appears...
Risk appetite has a strong come back today on progress in US-China trade negotiations. It's reported that China is considering to response to Trump's request and cut auto tariffs down from 40% to 15%. Trump also tweeted that there...
Sterling turned cautious as markets are now awaiting the result of UK Prime Minister Theresa May's Cabinet meeting on Brexit. The withdrawal agreement text should have been agreed with the EU. Approval by the Cabinet will give the green-light...
Yen remains generally firm today with help from strength in JGB yields. 10 year JGB yields hit as high as 0.113 and is now hovering at around 0.10. Nonetheless, Yen is outperformed by Canadian Dollar, which is lifted by...
Geopolitical tensions in Iran continue to evolve. The latest development is that Iran has launched over a dozen missiles at Iraqi bases hosting US and coalition troops. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced in a statement that the...
Dollar drops notably in response to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's prepared remains for the two day Congressional testimony which starts today. The greenback is currently the weakest one for today, followed by Yen and the Canadian. On the other...
The forex markets remain rather quiet today so far. The selloff in stocks and oil overnight triggered some pull back in Canadian and Australian Dollars, but losses were limited. Similar, Yen was given just a mild pop while it's...
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended April 23,  NET LENGTH for crude oil futures jumped +32 101 contracts to 557 359 for the week. Speculative long positions roas +28 560 contracts while shorts...
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