Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.05; (P) 121.39; (R1) 122.02; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally extends to as high as 122.58 so far. Break of 121.46 resistance confirms resumption of whole rise from 115.86. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 123.35 resistance first. Break will target key channel resistance (now at 124.72). On the downside, break of 121.01 resistance turn support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 115.86 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective rise only. In case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen from falling channel resistance (now at 124.72) to limit upside. However, sustained break there will indicate larger bullish reversal and should target 127.50 key resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.21; (P) 157.12; (R1) 158.66; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral as it retreated after failing to break through 157.99 high decisive break. On the upside, sustained break of 157.99 will confirm resumption of larger up trend, and target 162.82 projection level next. Nevertheless, break of 155.57 minor support will bring deeper decline to extend the corrective pattern from 157.99.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.51; (P) 121.20; (R1) 121.76; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 122.87 extends to as low as 120.63 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. With 55 day EMA taken out, focus is now on 120.17 structure support. Sustained break there will argue that whole rise from 115.86 has completed and turn outlook bearish. Nevertheless, strong rebound from the current level, followed by break of 121.74 minor resistance, will retain near term bullishness. Retest of 122.87 high should then be seen.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.64; (P) 125.14; (R1) 125.86; More….

With 124.44 support intact, intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Larger rise is in favor to continue and break of 127.07 will resume the rally from 114.42, to 128.67 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 124.44 will confirm short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 124.01) and further to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 119.31 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.05; (P) 125.28; (R1) 125.46; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral, as it recover strongly after hitting 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 127.48 at 125.24. On the upside, break of 125.91 resistance will argue that the pull back from 127.48 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 127.48. Nevertheless, sustained trading below 125.24 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 123.86 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Decisive break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.30; (P) 138.05; (R1) 138.97; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 139.78 minor resistance will argue that pull back from 144.26 has completed at 136.85. Further rally would be seen back to retest 144.26 high. On the downside, though, below 136.85 will resume the fall back to 132.63 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Firm break of 139.78 will target 149.76 (2015 high. However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY fell sharply after edging higher to 175.41 last week. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, a short term top should be in place. Deeper correction cannot be ruled out. But for now, downside should be contained by 170.87 and bring rebound, to set the range for consolidations. However, firm break of 170.87 will argue that larger correction is already underway and target 167.52 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 170.87 resistance turned support holds, the long term up trend is still expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 178.38. However, firm break of 170.87 will bring deeper fall to 167.52 support. Decisive break there will confirm that larger correction in in progress for 153.15/164.29 support zone.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 138.2% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 191.32. This will remain the favored case as long as 167.52 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.77; (P) 138.70; (R1) 139.19; More….

EUR/JPY rebounded strongly today but stays below 142.84 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 138.00 support should resume whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level next. however, firm break of 142.84 will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed, and bring stronger rise back to 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.64) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.24; (P) 119.48; (R1) 119.77; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Some retreat could be seen, but downside should be contained above 117.07 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 120.01 resistance will resume the rise from 115.86 for 100% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 121.16 first.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Break of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 126.10). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.50; (P) 122.02; (R1) 122.32; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 121.65 minor support argues that consolidation pattern from 120.7 has completed with three waves to 123.35. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 120.78 low first. Decisive break there will resume larger fall from 127.50 to 118.62 low next. On the upside, in case of another rise, upside should be limited below 123.73 to bring down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.08; (P) 136.48; (R1) 137.26; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected with 133.70 support intact. On the upside, sustained break of 137.49 resistance will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY edged higher to 123.18 last week but dropped sharply since then. The development suggests that corrective recovery from 120.78 has completed. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 120.78 low first. Break will resume larger fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.17 minor resistance delay the bearish case, turn intraday bias neutral and bring more consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. Break of 118.62 will extend this falling leg through 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA, this is now the preferred case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.80; (P) 131.20; (R1) 131.55; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in correction from 133.44 and deeper fall could be seen. But downside should be contained above 130.45 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 132.55 minor resistance will bring retest of 133.44 first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. However, firm break of 130.45 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall back to 127.91 key support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.

EUR/JPY’s rally from 153.15 continued last week but lost momentum after hitting 163.45. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained by 55 4H EMA (now at 161.94) to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 163.45 will target 164.29 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.31; (P) 130.59; (R1) 130.87; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. A short term top is in place at 131.39 on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Break of 129.83 will confirm and turn bias to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 122.39 to 131.39 at 127.95. But we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 131.39 is needed to confirm rise resumption. Otherwise, more consolidative trading is expected with risk of another fall.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.27; (P) 132.52; (R1) 132.95; More….

EUR/JPY recovered after drawing support from 4 hour 55 EMA and intraday bias is turned neutral. At this point, we’re holding on to the view that rebound from 128.94 has completed at 133.08 already. Below 132.03 will target a test on 128.94 low. On the upside, above 133.08 will extend such rebound. But even in that case, upside will likely be limited by 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 129.91) suggests that the first leg has completed at 128.94 already. Nonetheless, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm resumption of the rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective range trading, with risk of another fall to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completion.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.18; (P) 120.66; (R1) 120.97; More…

A temporary top is in place at 121.18 in EUR/JPY and intraday bias is turned neutral first. At this point, we’re still favoring the case that corrective fall from 124.08 has completed at 118.23 already, after defending 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). Decisive break of 121.32 resistance should confirm this case and target 124.08 high next. However, break of 119.45 support should invalidate this bullish view and would likely extend the fall from 124.08 through 118.23.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. Strong rebound from 118.45 resistance turned support suggests that it’s still in progress. Break of 124.08 will target 126.09 key resistance level. We’d be cautious on strong resistance there to limit upside. However, sustained break there will be a strong sign of medium term momentum and could target 141.04 resistance next.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.27; (P) 123.04; (R1) 123.92; More…

EUR/JPY is staying in range below 124.08 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation could extend but overall, further rally is in favor as long as 120.90 support holds. Above 124.08 will target 126.09 key resistance next. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD, we’d be cautious on topping around 126.09. Meanwhile, break of 120.90 will indicate short term topping and turn bias to the downside for 55 days EMA (now at 119.81).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as correcting whole down trend from 149.76 to 109.20. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.00; (P) 136.85; (R1) 137.53; More….

EUR/JPY is still extending the consolidation pattern from 139.99 and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another decline, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 134.02 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 139.99 will resume larger up trend for 144.06 medium term projection level.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.01; (P) 129.28; (R1) 129.50; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside, as fall from 130.73 is in progress for retesting 127.91 low. Firm break there will resume whole fall from 134.11 to 127.07 key resistance turned support. On the upside, above 129.63 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 130.73 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.