Fri, Apr 24, 2026 19:49 GMT
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    SILVER Bullish Pressures

    Swissquote Bank SA

    Silver's bullish pressures are on. Hourly resistance lies at 17.24 (10/08/2017 high) while support can be found at 16.13 (07/08/2017 high). The commodity lies in a short-term uptrend channel. Expected to show continued current bullish momentum.

    In the long-term, the death cross indicates that further downsides are very likely. Resistance is located at 25.11 (28/08/2013 high). Strong support can be found at 11.75 (20/04/2009).

    GOLD Ready To Monitor Strong Resistance

    Gold is back towards strong resistance given at 1296 (06/06/2017 high). Hourly support is given at 1251 (08/08/2017 low). Stronger support lies at 1204 (10/07/2017 high). Expected to show continued buying pressures.

    In the long-term, the technical structure suggests that there is a growing upside momentum. A break of 1392 (17/03/2014) is necessary ton confirm it, A major support can be found at 1045 (05/02/2010 low)

    Trade Idea: EUR/JPY – Stand aside

    EUR/JPY - 128.10

    Original strategy:

    Bought at 129.45, stopped at 128.85

    Position: - Long at 129.45
    Target: -
    Stop: - 128.85

    New strategy :

    Stand aside

    Position: -
    Target:  -
    Stop:-

    Despite rising to 130.40 earlier this week, as the single currency ran into renewed selling interest there and has dropped sharply, dampening our bullishness and signaling another leg of decline from 131.40 top is underway, hence further weakness to 127.50 and later 127.00-10 would be seen, however, near term oversold condition would limit downside to 126.50-60, risk from there is for a rebound to take place next week.

    In view of tis, would not chase this fall here and would be prudent to stand aside in the meantime. Above 128.60-70 would bring test of 129.10-15 but break of latter level is needed to signal low is formed instead, bring a stronger rebound to 129.50-60 and possibly towards 130.00. Looking ahead, only break of said resistance at 130.40 would revive bullishness and signal the fall from 131.40 has ended, then gain to 130.90-00 would follow. 

    Our latest preferred count is that wave (ii) is ABC-X-ABC which ended at 123.33 and wave (iii) is unfolding with wave iii ended at 100.77, followed by wave iv at 111.57 and wave v as well as the wave (iii) has ended at 97.04, followed by wave (iv) at 111.43 and wave (v) has ended at 94.12 which is also the end of the larger degree v, this also implied the major wave (C) has also ended there, hence major correction has commenced from there with (A) leg unfolding in its lower degree wave c which has possibly ended at 145.69. Under this count, A-B-C wave (B) has commenced with A leg ended at 136.23, wave B at 143.79 and wave C has possibly ended at 149.79.

    Our larger degree count is that the decline from 139.26 is wave (C) and is sub-divided into a diagonal triangle i-ii-iii-iv-v with wave i - 105.44, wave ii- 123.33, wave iii - 97.03, wave iv - 111.43, followed by the final wave v as well as the end of wave (C) at 94.12, this also mark the bottom of larger degree wave B. Under this count, major rise in wave C has commenced as an impulsive wave with minor wave III ended at 145.69, wave V is still in progress for further gain to 150.00. Having said that, this so-called wave V could well be the first leg of larger degree 5-waver wave C and this wave C should bring at least a retest of wave A top at 169.97 (July 2008).

    BITCOIN Rising Again

    Bitcoin is pausing after the massive surge over the past few days. Resistance is at all-time high at 4480 (17/08/2017 high). Hourly support lies very far at 2403 (26/07/2017 low). The road is wide open for another bullish move.

    In the long-term, the digital currency has had an exponential growth. There are decent likelihood that the asset will consolidate above $1500. Long-term support is given at $1464 (04/05/2017 low).

    EUR/CHF Ready To Bounce Back

    EUR/CHF's volatility is important. Hourly support is located at 1.1260 (04/08/2017 low). Expected to show renewed buying pressures.

    In the longer term, the technical structure has reversed. Strong resistance at 1.1200 (04/02/2015 high) has been broken. Yet,the ECB's QE programme is likely to cause persistent selling pressures on the euro, which should weigh on EUR/CHF. Supports can be found at 1.0184 (28/01/2015 low) and 1.0082 (27/01/2015 low).

    EUR/GBP Medium-Term Bullish

    EUR/GBP is trading around its highest levels of the year despite ongoing consolidation. Hourly resistance lies at 0.9087 (08/08/2017 high) has been broken. Hourly support is given at a distance at 0.8742 (16/06/2017 low). Downside risks are nonetheless important.

    In the long-term, the pair has largely recovered from recent lows in 2015. The technical structure suggests a growing upside momentum. The pair is trading above from its 200 DMA. Strong resistance can be found at 0.9500 psychological level.

    AUD/USD Short-Term Bearish Consolidation

    AUD/USD's short-term technical structure has reversed. Hourly support can be found at 0.7786 (18/07/2017 low). Hourly resistance is given at 0.8066 (27/07/2017 high). Expected to show continued growth.

    In the long-term, we are waiting for further signs that the current downtrend is ending. Key supports stand at 0.6009 (31/10/2008 low) . A break of the key resistance at 0.8295 (15/01/2015 high) is needed to invalidate our long-term bearish view.

    USD/CAD Ready For Another Leg Lower

    USD/CAD's short-term bullish momentum is ending. Hourly support is given at a distance at 1.2414 (27/07/2017 low). Expected to show continued short-term bearish move.

    In the longer term, the pair has broken longterm support that can be found at 1.2461 (16/03/2015 low) before bouncing back. Strong resistance is given at 1.4690 (22/01/2016 high). The pair should head further lower.

    USD/CHF Selling Pressures

    USD/CHF is pushing lower. Resistance is given at 0.9771 (15/06/2017 high). Hourly support lies at at 0.9584 (08/11/2017 low). Expected to to push even lower.

    In the long-term, the pair is still trading in range since 2011 despite some turmoil when the SNB unpegged the CHF. Key support can be found 0.8986 (30/01/2015 low). The technical structure favours nonetheless a long term bullish bias since the unpeg in January 2015.

    USD/JPY Strong Bearish Pressures

    USD/JPY's bearish pressures are back towards former support at 108.83 (17/04/2017 low). Expected to show another leg lower.

    We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support is now given at 96.57 (10/08/2013 low). A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 135.15 (01/02/2002 high) seems absolutely unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 93.79 (13/06/2013 low).