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Bitcoin keeps on surging. The digital currency has set a new all-time high at 4125 (14/08/2017 high) and hourly support lies very far at 2403 (26/07/2017 low). The road is wide open for another bullish move.

In the long-term, the digital currency has had an exponential growth. There are decent likelihood that the asset will consolidate above $1500. Long-term support is given at $1464 (04/05/2017 low).

EUR/CHF's short-term buying pressures are back on. Hourly support is now located at 1.1260 (04/08/2017 low). Expected to show continued increase.

In the longer term, the technical structure has reversed. Strong resistance at 1.1200 (04/02/2015 high) has been broken. Yet,the ECB's QE programme is likely to cause persistent selling pressures on the euro, which should weigh on EUR/CHF. Supports can be found at 1.0184 (28/01/2015 low) and 1.0082 (27/01/2015 low).

EUR/GBP is trading around its highest levels of the year despite ongoing consolidation. Hourly resistance lies at 0.9087 (08/08/2017 high). Hourly support is given at a distance at 0.8742 (16/06/2017 low). Downside risks are nonetheless important.

In the long-term, the pair has largely recovered from recent lows in 2015. The technical structure suggests a growing upside momentum. The pair is trading above from its 200 DMA. Strong resistance can be found at 0.9500 psychological level.

EUR/USD – 1.1795

EUR/USD:   Wave (c) of 2 ended at 1.3993 and wave 3 of III has commenced for weakness to 1.0411 (1.236 of wave 1), then 1.0000.

The single currency found support at 1.0689 last week and has rebounded, however, break of recent high at 1.1910 is needed to confirm medium term rise from 1.0340 (wave 3 trough) to 1.1950, then 1.2000-10, break there would encourage for further gain in wave 4 to 1.2100 but price should falter well below 1.2220-30, bring retreat later this month. 

Our preferred count on the daily chart remains that a wave (II) from 1.2329 ended at 1.5145 with A-leg ended at 1.4720, followed by wave B at 1.2457, the wave C from there was also a 3 legged move and is labeled as (a): 1.3739, (b): 1.2885, the wave iii of the 5-waver (c) from 1.2885 has ended at 1.4339 and wave iv is a triangle ended at 1.3878 and wave v formed a top at 1.5145. The decline from there is a 5-waver (C) with minor wave (i) of I of (C) ended at 1.4218 with wave (ii) ended at 1.4580, wave (iii) ended at 1.3267 and wave (iv) ended at 1.3692 and wave (v) ended at 1.1876, this is also the low of wave I of (C) and wave II ended at 1.4940, hence wave III is now in progress with a diagonal wave 1 ended at 1.2042, the breach of previous support at 1.1876 (wave I trough) adds credence to our view that the wave 2 has ended at 1.3993, wave 3 has commenced for further weakness to 1.0411, then towards 1.0000.

On the downside, if said resistance at 1.1910 remains intact, risk of another corrective fall remains, below said support at 1.0689 would bring weakness to 1.1650, then towards support at 1.1613, however, reckon downside would be limited to previous resistance at 1.1583 and price should stay well above support at 1.1479, bring another upmove later. 

Recommendation: Buy at 1.1600 for 1.1800 with stop below 1.1500

Euro's long-term uptrend started from 0.8228 (26 Oct 2000) with an impulsive structure. The rise from 0.8228 to 0.9593 (5 Jan 2001) is labeled as wave I, the retreat to 0.8352 (6 Jul 2001) is wave II and the rally to 1.3670 (31 Dec 2004) is wave III. Wave IV from there ended at 1.1640 (15 Nov 2005), the subsequent upmove to 1.6040 (July 15, 2008) is treated as wave V, the major selloff from the record high of 1.6040 to 1.2329 (October 27, 2008) signals a reversal has taken place with (I) leg ended at 1.2329 and once (II) ended at 1.5145, wave (III) itself is an extended move with I: 1.1876 and complex wave II ended at 1.4902, wave III has commenced with wave 1 and 2 ended at 1.2042 and 1.3993 respectively, wave 3 of III is now unfolding for weakness towards parity.

USD/JPY - 109.69

USD/JPY – Wave V of larger degree circle V has possibly ended at 75.31 and major correction has commenced and already met indicated target at 125.00.

Although the greenback broke briefly below indicated previous support at 18.82, lack of follow through selling and current rebound suggest minor consolidation would be seen and corrective bounce to 110.15-20 and then 110.55-60 is likely, however, reckon resistance at 111.05 would limit upside and bring another decline, below last week’s low at 108.73 would extend recent decline from 114.50 to previous chart support at 108.13. Looking ahead, only a break below this 2017 low at 108.13 would confirm early fall from 118.66 top has resumed and extend decline to 107.50, then 107.00 but reckon 106.50-55 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 99.01-118.66) would hold from here. 

Our preferred count is that, triangle wave IV (with circle) ended at 101.45 and the circle wave V brought dollar down to the record low of 75.31 in 2011 and the subsequent rebound signal major correction has commenced with A leg ended at 84.19, followed by wave B at 77.14 and impulsive wave C is now unfolding (indicated upside target at 125.00 had been met) for gain towards 127.00 level. In the event dollar drops below support at 99.01, this would confirm medium term decline from 125.86 top (2015 high) has resumed for subsequent weakness to 98.00 and possibly 97.00.

Under this count, this wave C is unfolding as impulsive waves with (1) (2), 1 2 ended at 80.67, 79.07, 82.84 and 81.69 respectively, hence the extended wave 3 has ended at 103.74 and wave 4 correction of recent upmove should bring weakness to 92.57, then towards 90.88 but psychological support at 90.00 should limit downside and bring another rally later in wave 5, indicated target at 125.00 had been met and gain to 127.00 cannot be ruled out but reckon price would falter below 130.00.

On the upside, whilst initial recovery to 110.20-30 cannot be ruled out, reckon upside would be limited to resistance at 111.05 and bring another decline. Only a daily close above resistance at 112.20 would defer and signal the first leg of decline from 114.50 has ended instead, bring a strong rebound to 112.85-90 but resistance at 113.58 should cap upside, bring another selloff later.

Recommendation: Sell again at 111.00 for 109.00 with stop above 112.00.

On the monthly chart, we have changed our preferred count that an impulsive wave is unfolding with major wave III with circle ended at 79.75, then followed by wave IV with circle and is labeled as a triangle with A: 147.64 (11 August, 1998), B: 101.25, C: 135.20, D: 101.67 and E leg ended at 124.14 to end the wave IV with circle. Hence, wave V with circle commenced from there and hit a record low of 75.31, however, the subsequent strong rebound signals this circle wave V has possibly ended there, hence gain to (indicated upside target at 122.00 and 125.00 had been met), the retreat from 125.86 suggests wave A of major correction has ended there and wave B correction back to 99.00, then 95.00 would be seen, however, reckon downside would be limited to 90.00, bring another rebound in wave C next year.

AUD/USD's short-term technical structure is bearish. Hourly support can be found at 0.7786 (18/07/2017 low) has been broken. Hourly resistance is given at 0.8066 (27/07/2017 high) . Expected to show continued decline.

In the long-term, we are waiting for further signs that the current downtrend is ending. Key supports stand at 0.6009 (31/10/2008 low) . A break of the key resistance at 0.8295 (15/01/2015 high) is needed to invalidate our long-term bearish view.

USD/CAD's short-term bullish momentum continues. The road is wide open for further increase. Hourly support is given at a distance at 1.2414 (27/07/2017 low). Expected to show continued increase.

In the longer term, the pair has broken longterm support that can be found at 1.2461 (16/03/2015 low) before bouncing back. Strong resistance is given at 1.4690 (22/01/2016 high). The pair should head further lower.

USD/CHF is pushing higher. Resistance is given at at 0.9771 (15/06/2017 high). Hourly support lies at at 0.9584 (08/11/2017 low). Expected to to show further downside pressures towards 0.9500.

In the long-term, the pair is still trading in range since 2011 despite some turmoil when the SNB unpegged the CHF. Key support can be found 0.8986 (30/01/2015 low). The technical structure favours nonetheless a long term bullish bias since the unpeg in January 2015.

USD/JPY has bounced back after the pair broke support at 108.83 (17/04/2017 low). The pair is still located within downtrend channel. Expected to show further downside pressures.

We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support is now given at 96.57 (10/08/2013 low). A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 135.15 (01/02/2002 high) seems absolutely unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 93.79 (13/06/2013 low).

GBP/USD is now trading sideways. Hourly resistance is given at 1.3267 (03/08/2017 high). Hourly support is given at 1.2933 (20/07/2017 low). Expected to show further monitoring of support at 1.2933.

The long-term technical pattern is even more negative since the Brexit vote has paved the way for further decline. Long-term support given at 1.0520 (01/03/85) represents a decent target. Long-term resistance is given at 1.5018 (24/06/2015) and would indicate a long-term reversal in the negative trend. Yet, it is very unlikely at the moment.