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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

ActionForex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.89; (P) 135.53; (R1) 136.26; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current recovery. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 134.02 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 137.52 minor resistance will bring retest of 139.99 resistance first. However, firm break of 134.02 will bring deeper decline to 61.8% retracement at 130.33.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8382; (P) 0.8424; (R1) 0.8460; More...

A temporary top is formed at 0.8465 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, above 0.8465 will target 0.8511 resistance first. Further break of 0.8511 will reaffirm that 0.8201 is a medium term bottom, and target 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4745; (P) 1.4844; (R1) 1.4917; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral at this point, and another rise is still mildly in favor 1.4687 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.5053 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.6223 to 1.4318 at 1.5495. On the downside, below 1.4687 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.4318 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.9799 is seen as a long term impulsive move. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). Some support could be seen there to bring interim rebound. But overall, break of 1.5354 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0202; (P) 1.0230; (R1) 1.0263; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the downside at this point. Corrective pattern from 1.0400 is extending with another falling leg. Deeper decline could be seen to 1.0086 support. On the upside, above 1.0289 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 1.0400 resistance will resume the rebound from 0.9970 to 1.0610 structural resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2779; (P) 1.2816; (R1) 1.2855; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 1.2401 should target 1.2899 resistance. Break there will target 1.3022 fibonacci level next. On the downside, however, break of 1.2683 minor support will mix up the near term outlook and turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7088; (P) 0.7140; (R1) 0.7178; More...

AUD/USD's fall resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the downside. Current development argues that larger correction from 0.8006 is in its third leg. Fall from 0.7660 should target 0.6966 low next. On the upside, above 0.7228 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8006 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.5506 (2020 low). Break of 0.7164 will suggest that such correction is still in progress, with fall from 0.7660 as the third leg. Next target will be 50% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.6756. On the upside, break of 0.7660 will revive that case that the correction has already completed at 0.6966.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0498; (P) 1.0577 (R1) 1.0638; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Sustained break of 100% projection of 1.1494 to 1.0805 from 1.1184 at 1.0495 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 1.0069. On the upside, above 1.0654 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But upside should be limited by 1.0756 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.2348 (2021 high) is expected to continue as long as 1.1185 support turned resistance holds. Firm break of 1.0635 (2020 low) will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption and target a retest on 1.0339 (2017 low) next. Nevertheless, break of 1.1185 will maintain medium term neutral outlook, and extending term range trading first.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2499; (P) 1.2550; (R1) 1.2598; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside at this point. Current down trend should target 161.8% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2258. On the upside, above 1.2601 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.2999 support turned resistance to bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248, ahead 1.4376 long term resistance (2018 high). Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3158 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9635; (P) 0.9669; (R1) 0.9722; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Current up trend should target next projection level at 0.9864. On the downside, below 0.9631 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But downside of retreat should be contained above 0.9459 resistance turned support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9864. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9459 resistance turned support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.39; (P) 127.99; (R1) 129.03; More...

USD/JPY's up trend resumed by breaking through 129.39 temporary top and intraday bias is back on the upside. Immediate focus is now on 130.04 long term projection level. Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implications. Next near term target is 61.8% projection of 121.27 to 129.39 from 126.91 at 131.92, and then 100% projection at 135.03. On the downside, break of 126.91 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the break of 125.85 resistance (2015 high) suggests that whole up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) is resuming. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% projection of 75.56 (2011 low) to 125.85 (2015 high) from 98.97 at 130.04. Sustained break there wave the way to 100% project at 149.26, which is close to 147.68 (1998 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 121.27 support holds.