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The US dollar continues upward as markets wager a 50 bp Fed hike next month. The pound’s latest rally came to a halt in the supply zone around 1.3150 which coincides with the 30-day moving average.

As the pair gives up its recent gains, the bears still retain control of the direction and seem to be ready to double down at rebounds. A drop below 1.3000 would attract momentum selling and push the pair to November 2020’s lows near 1.2860.

The RSI’s oversold situation may cause a temporary bounce towards 1.3060.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0760; (P) 1.0791 (R1) 1.0812; More...

EUR/USD's decline resumed after brief recovery and intraday bias is back on the downside. Firm break of 61.8% projection of 1.1494 to 1.0805 from 1.1184 at 1.0758 will pave the way to 100% projection at 1.0495. On the upside, break of 1.0922 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.2348 (2021 high) is expected to continue as long as 1.1494 resistance holds. Firm break of 1.0635 (2020 low) will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption and target a retest on 1.0339 (2017 low) next. Nevertheless, break of 1.1494 will maintain medium term neutral outlook, and extending term range trading first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2989; (P) 1.3027; (R1) 1.3049; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and further decline is expected with 1.3165 resistance intact. On the downside, break of will resume larger down trend from 1.4248. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2900. On the upside, firm break of 1.3165 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3297 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed confirm completion of the fall from 1.4248, or outlook will stay bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9425; (P) 0.9440; (R1) 0.9460; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside and breach of 0.9459 resistance suggests resumption of whole rise form 0.9149. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9591. On the downside, below 0.9408 minor support will delay the bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that whole down trend form 1.0342 (2016 high), has completed with three waves down to 0.8756. A medium term up trend should be set up to target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.50; (P) 126.75; (R1) 127.25; More...

USD/JPY's up trend resumed after brief retreat and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rally should target 130.04 long term projection level next. On the downside, below 126.78 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But downside of retreat should be contained by 125.09 resistance turned support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, the break of 125.85 resistance (2015 high) suggests that whole up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) is resuming. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% projection of 75.56 (2011 low) to 125.85 (2015 high) from 98.97 at 130.04. Sustained break there wave the way to 147.68 (1998 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 121.27 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7327; (P) 0.7366; (R1) 0.7388; More...

AUD/USD's fall from 0.7660 resumed after brief recovery and intraday bias is back on the downside. Deeper fall would be seen back to 0.7164 support. On the upside, above 0.7492 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.7660. Firm break there will resume larger rise from 0.6991 to retest 0.8006 high.

In the bigger picture, correction from 0.8006 could have completed at 0.6966, after drawing support from 0.6991. That is, up trend from 0.5506 (2020 low) might be ready to resume. Firm break of 0.8006 will target 61.8% projection of 0.5506 to 0.8006 from 0.6966 at 0.8511 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.7164 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2594; (P) 1.2619; (R1) 1.2636; More...

USD/CAD recovered quickly after dipping to 1.2519 and intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the upside, break of 1.2675 will flip bias back to the upside for 1.2899 resistance instead. On the downside, below 1.2519 will bring retest of 1.2401 support.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8274; (P) 0.8286; (R1) 0.8297; More...

EUR/GBP recovered after hitting 0.8248 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further decline is still expected as long a s0.8379 resistance holds. Below 0.82458 will target a retest on 0.82101 low. On the upside, however, above 0.8379 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. Further break of 0.8511 will reaffirm that 0.8201 is a medium term bottom, and target 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8294 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4620; (P) 1.4651; (R1) 1.4697; More...

EUR/AUD is staying in consolidation from 1.4318 and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook also stays bearish with 1.4940 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.4318 will resume larger down trend to 1.3624 long term support next. On the upside, however, firm break of 1.4940 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 1.5327 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.9799 is seen as a long term impulsive move. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). Some support could be seen there to bring interim rebound. But overall, break of 1.5354 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0173; (P) 1.0187; (R1) 1.0201; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.0211 minor resistance will argue that pull back form 1.0400 has completed already. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 1.0400 first. Break will resume whole rebound from 0.9970 towards 1.0610 resistance. On the downside, though, below 1.0086 will resume the fall towards 0.9970 low.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.