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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.31; (P) 157.99; (R1) 158.99; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidations above 156.16 temporary low. Further decline is expected as long as 55 D EMA (now at 162.08) holds. On the downside, below 156.16 temporary low will resume the fall from 166.67 to 155.14 support first. Firm break there will raise the chance that whole decline from 175.41 is resuming, and target 154.40 low next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should have been set between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high. However, decisive break of 152.11 would argue that deeper correction is underway.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8263; (P) 0.8282; (R1) 0.8296; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, decisive break of 0.8259 will resume larger down trend to 0.8201 key support. On the upside, break of 0.8311 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery. But still, outlook will stay bearish as long a 0.8446 resistance holds, and downside breakout is expected at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 0.8201 (2022 low), but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. However, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8624 resistance holds even in case of strong rebound. Decisive break of 0.8201 will indicate long term bearish reversal.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6231; (P) 1.6312; (R1) 1.6426; More...

The break of 1.6359 resistance in EUR/AUD is tentatively taken as a the first sign of near term bullish reversal. Intraday bias now mildly on the upside for 1.6598 resistance. Firm break there will confirm successful defense of 1.5996 support and bring further rally. Nevertheless, break of 1.6156 support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.5996 again.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 1.5996 key support level. Sustained break there will argue that whole up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is already reversing. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7180 at 1.5388, even as a correction. Nevertheless, strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 1.6359 resistance, will keep medium term outlook neutral at worst.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9282; (P) 0.9304; (R1) 0.9318; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for the moment. Further decline is in favor with 0.9343 resistance intact. On the downside, below 0.9269 minor support will bring retest of 0.9204/9 support zone. Decisive break there will confirm larger down trend resumption. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9343 will now be a sign of near term bullish reversal, and target 0.9444 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, outlook will now stay bearish as long as 0.9444 resistance holds. Decisive break of 0.9209 low will resumed long term down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.9772 to 0.9209 from 0.9444 at 0.9096 next.

GBPUSD Shows Signs of Positive Momentum

  • GBPUSD in bullish correction in short-term
  • RSI and MACD head north

GBPUSD has been in a rising correction mode over the last couple of weeks after the bounce off the six-month low of 1.2486. The pair may revisit the 1.2750 barrier, which is holding near the short-term downtrend line. If the market successfully breaks this area, it may face a significant challenge at the flat 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.2820, before encountering the 1.2840 resistance and the 50-day SMA around 1.2900.

However, if the price retreats below the 1.2610 support, then it may challenge the long-term ascending trend line at 1.2530 and the six-month bottom of 1.2486. Slightly lower, the 1.2445 support may pause the decline but the 1.2300 round number may be the next key turning point in the market.

According to technical oscillators, the RSI is ready to cross above the 50 level, and the MACD is strengthening its positive momentum above its trigger line. Both are indicating further increases in the market.

Overall, GBPUSD has shown a bullish tendency over the last one-and-a-half-year and any climbs beyond the 200-day SMA would also shift the short-term negative bias to a positive one.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0474; (P) 1.0509; (R1) 1.0546; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral at this point. Outlook remains bearish with 1.0609 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.0330 will resume the fall from 1.1213. Also, sustained trading below 1.0404 key fibonacci level will carry larger bearish implication. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0609 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0760 support turned resistance first.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 50% retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 at 1.0404. Strong rebound from this level will keep price actions from 1.1273 (2023 high) as a medium term consolidation pattern only. However, sustained break of 1.0404 will raise the chance that whole up trend from 0.9534 has reversed. That would pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.0199 first. Firm break there will target 0.9534 low again.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2646; (P) 1.2684; (R1) 1.2737; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. Recovery from 2.2486 could extend through 1.2749. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2853) holds. Below 1.2615 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 1.2486. Break there will resume whole fall from 1.3433.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.3433, and price actions from there are correcting whole up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Deeper decline is now expected as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2867) holds, to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3433 at 1.2256, which is close to 1.2298 structural support. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8821; (P) 0.8851; (R1) 0.8874; More

USD/CHF is still bounded in consolidations below 0.8956 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected with 0.8800 support intact. On the upside, break of 0.8956 will resume the rally from 0.8374, and target 0.9223 key resistance next. However, firm break of 0.8800 will confirm short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.8736).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern. Rise from 0.8374 is seen as the third leg. Overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9223 resistance holds. Break of 0.8332 low is in favor at a later stage when the consolidation completes.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.68; (P) 150.46; (R1) 151.39; More...

USD/JPY is staying in consolidation above 148.64 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 148.64 will strength the case that rise from 139.57 has already completed at 156.754. Deeper fall should then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 156.74 at 146.12 next. Nevertheless, firm break of 151.94 resistance will revive near term bullishness and bring retest of 156.74 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4056; (P) 1.4070; (R1) 1.4087; More...

Range trading continues in USD/CAD and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is expected with 1.3930 support intact. On the upside, firm break of 1.4177 will resume larger up trend towards 1.4391 projection level. However, break of 1.3926 will turn bias to the downside for deeper pullback to 55 D EMA (now at 1.3879).

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021) is resuming with break of 1.3976 key resistance (2022 high). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3418 at 1.4391. Now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3418 support holds, even in case of deep pullback.