Sample Category Title
Technical Outlook and Review
DXY:
On the H4 timeframe, prices are abiding by a daily ascending trendline and are on bullish momentum. We see the potential for a bounce from our 1st support at 95.720 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension and graphical overlap towards our 1st resistance at 96.066 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our bullish bias is further supported by our RSI showing bullish momentum and prices trading above our ichimoku cloud support.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 96.066
- H4 time frame, 1st support at 95.720
XAU/USD (GOLD):
On the H4 chart, prices have recently broken out of our daily descending trendline. We see potential for a slight pullback from our 1st resistance at 1869.220 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement towards our 1st support at 1856.567 in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. RSI are at levels where dips previously occurred.
Areas of consideration:
- 4h 1st support at 1856.567
- 4h 1st resistance at 1869.220
GBP/USD
On the H4 chart , price is near 1st resistance level of 1.36086 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Price can potentially dip to the take profit level of 1.35026 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci projection . Our bearish bias is supported by the stochastic indicator as it is near resistance level.
Areas of consideration
- H4 1st resistance at 1.36086
- H4 1st support at 1.35026
USD/CHF:
On the H4 timeframe, price is abiding to the daily ascending channel and descending trendline resistance on the H4. We can expect the price to drop from 1st Resistance in line with 61.8% Fibonacci projection towards 1st Support in line with 61.8% Fibonacci projection and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our bearish bias is further supported by the RSI indicator where it is abiding to the descending trendline resistance. Traders should wait for prices to swing higher or lower before entering.
Areas of consideration:
- Watch 1st Support at 0.91795
- Watch 1st Resistance at 0.92211
EUR/USD :
On the H4 chart, price is near 1st resistance level of 1.13967 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement. Price can potentially dip to the 1st support level of 1.12784 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Our bearish bias is supported by the stochastic indicator as it is near the resistance level.
Areas of consideration
- H4 1st resistance at 1.13967
- H4 1st support at 1.12784
USD/JPY:
On the H4 chart, price is abiding to the ascending trendline support signifying an overall bullish momentum. We can expect price to bounce at 115.332 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension towards our 1st resistance at 115.812 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our bullish bias is further supported by the Ichimoku cloud acting as a support and RSI at levels where bounces previously occurred.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 1st support at 115.332
- H4 1st resistance at 115.812
AUD/USD:
Price broke out of the descending channel. Price is near the 1st resistance level of 0.72584 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Price can potentially dip to the 1st support level of 0.71144 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci projection and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our bearish bias is supported by the stochastic indicator as it is near resistance level.
Areas of consideration :
- H4 1st resistance of 0.72584
- H4 1st support of 0.71144
NZD/USD:
On the H4 timeframe, prices are on bearish momentum and abiding to a descending trendline. We see potential for bearish momentum from our 1st resistance at 0.67032 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci extension towards our 1st support at 0.66329 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our bias is further supported by RSI being at levels where dips previously occurred and also ichimoku cloud forecasting bearish momentum . Alternatively, our stop loss will be placed at 2nd resistance at 0.67333 in line 100% Fibonacci extension.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 0.67032
- H4 time frame, 1st support at 0.66329
USD/CAD:
On the H4, with price moving below the ichimoku cloud, we can expect price to drop from our 1st resistance at 1.277777 in line horizontal graphical swing high resistance to our 1st support in line with horizontal overlap support and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1.26518. Alternatively, price may break 1st resistance structure and head for 2nd resistance, which coincides with horizontal swing high resistance at 1.28167.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st support at 1.26518
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 1.277777
OIL:
On the H4, with price expected to bounce off the support of the ichimoku cloud, signifying an overall bullish momentum. We can expect price to rise to our 1st resistance at 95.83 in line horizontal graphical swing high resistance and -61.8% Fibonacci expansion and 127.2% Fibonacci extension level from our 1st support in line with horizontal overlap support and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 90.69. Alternatively, price may break 1st support structure and head for 2nd support, which coincides with horizontal swing low support and 127.2% Fibonacci extension at 88.24.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance of 95.83
- H4 time frame, 1st support of 90.69
Dow Jones Industrial Average:
On the H4, with prices moving below the ichimoku cloud, we see the potential for a drop to our 1st support at 34374 in line with horizontal swing low support from our 1st resistance at 34987 in line with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Alternatively, price may break 1st resistance structure and head for 2nd resistance at 35699, in line with the horizontal overlap resistance and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance of 34987
- H4 time frame, 1st support of 34374
GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.09; (P) 156.45; (R1) 156.94; More...
Outlook in GBP/JPY is unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, break of 155.11 resistance should confirm rejection by 158.19 resistance. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 152.88 support, to extend the corrective pattern from 158.19 with another falling leg. However, on the upside, sustained break of 158.19 will resume larger up trend.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 158.19 are seen as developing into a consolidation pattern to up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Downside should be contained by 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10 to bring rebound. Firm break of 158.19 will resume the up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, sustained break of 145.10 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 137.02.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.98; (P) 131.44; (R1) 131.78; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first with current recovery. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 134.11 is extending with another falling leg. Break of 130.03 will bring deeper fall to 128.23 support first. Break will target 127.36 support and below. On the upside break of 133.13 will bring retest of 134.11 high.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8358; (P) 0.8380; (R1) 0.8396; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 0.8344 minor support will bring retest of 0.8282 low. . Sustained break of 0.8276 key long term support will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, above 0.8411 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.8476 resistance. Break there will resume the rebound from 0.8282.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen a corrective pattern that should be contained by 0.8276 long term support (2019 low). Bullish convergence condition in daily MACD and break of 55 day EMA raises the chance that it might be completed. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8282 at 0.8747 will affirm this bullish case. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will argue that the long term trend has reversed.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5775; (P) 1.5832; (R1) 1.5862; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral with focus on 1.5776 support. Firm break there will suggest that rise from 1.5559 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen back to this support first. On the upside, above 1.6002 will bring retest of 1.6223 resistance.
In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5354 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.5250 low. Further rise cannot be ruled out, but even in that case, strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988. Larger down trend from 1.9799 is in favor to extend through 1.5250 at a later stage.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0464; (P) 1.0507; (R1) 1.0531; More....
EUR/CHF's recovery was very brief and range trading continues. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 1.0298 at 1.0623 will add to the case of bullish trend reversal. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.0439 should confirm rejection by 1.0623 fibonacci resistance, and bring retest of 1.0298 low instead.
In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom was formed at 1.0298 on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Rebound from there is still tentatively viewed part of a corrective pattern. That is, larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018) could still extend through 1.0298 to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0673) will argue that the down trend is over, and bring stronger rise back to 1.1149 next.
EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1347; (P) 1.1372; (R1) 1.1398; More...
Range trading continues in EUR/USD and intraday bias stays neutral first. With 1.1265 minor support intact, further rally will remain mildly in favor. On the upside break of 1.1482 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2348 to 1.1120 at 1.1589 next. Sustained break there will argue that whole fall from 1.2348 has completed too and target 61.8% retracement at 1.1879. On the downside, however, break of 1.1265 support will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 1.1120 low instead.
In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.2348 (2021 high) is seen as a leg inside the range pattern from 1.2555 (2018 high). Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.1613) will argue that it has completed and stronger rise would be seen back towards top of the range between 1.2348 and 1.2555. However, firm break of 1.0635 (2020 low) will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption and target a retest on 1.0339 (2017 low) next.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3544; (P) 1.3572; (R1) 1.3613; More...
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 1.3642 will resume the rebound from 1.3356 to 1.3748 resistance. Firm break there will revive the bullish case that correction from 1.4248 has completed with three waves down to 1.3158. Further rally should then be seen to retest 1.4248 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.3356 will bring retest of 1.3158 low.
In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164 holds, up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Nevertheless sustained break of 1.3164 will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.
USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9199; (P) 0.9230; (R1) 0.9253; More....
Outlook in USD/CHF is unchanged as range trading continues. Intraday bias stays neutral first. Overall, further rally is mildly in favor as long as 0.9090 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9372 will resume the choppy rally from 0.8925 to 0.9471 high. However, break of 0.9090 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8925 support instead.
In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.28; (P) 115.53; (R1) 115.71; More...
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 115.00 will extend the fall from 116.33, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 116.34. Deeper fall would be seen to 114.14 support, and then 113.46. On the upside, firm break of 116.34 will resume larger up trend from 102.58. Next target is 118.65 long term resistance.
In the bigger picture, no change in the view that rise from 102.58 is the third leg of the up trend from 101.18 (2020 low). Such rally should target a test on 118.65 (2016 high). Sustained break there will pave the way to 120.85 (2015 high) and raise the chance of long term up trend resumption. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 week EMA (now at 111.21) holds.





























