EUR/GBP’s dropped to as low as 0.8229 last week and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Initial bias stays on the downside this week first. Firm break of 100% projection of 0.8476 to 0.8304 from 0.8405 at 0.8233 will target 161.8% projection at 0.8127. On the upside, above 0.8304 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.
In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9499 is expected to continue as long as 0.8476 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 0.8276 support will argue that the whole up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) has reversed. Deeper fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 next.
In the long term picture, current development argues that fall from 0.9499 is probably the third leg of the pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 will pave the way back to 0.6935 (2015 low) and probably below.
