EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1720; (P) 1.1814; (R1) 1.1867; More…..

Focus is now on 1.1698 minor support in EUR/USD. Firm break there would confirm short term topping at 1.1908, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1422 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.1908 at 1.1422) to bring rebound. However, decisive break there will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.1121.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 1.1496 resistance now suggests that whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0635 already. Rise from 1.0635 should be the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1422 resistance turned support holds.

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