EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0830; (P) 1.0886; (R1) 1.0917; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside at this point. Current development argues that corrective recovery from 1.0694 has completed at 1.0980 already. Deeper fall is expected to retest 1.0694 next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.0941 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is seen as the second leg. While further rally could cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.0694 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 1.0447 and possibly below.

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