USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3379; (P) 1.3410; (R1) 1.3447; More….

USD/CAD’s recovery lost momentum as intraday bias is turned neutral first. Rise from 1.3330 short term bottom is still in favor to extend. On the upside, break of 1.3459 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3715 resistance. Break will target 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.3315 at 1.3831. On the downside, firm break of 1.3315 will resume the fall from 1.4667 instead.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.4667 after failing 1.4689 (2016 high). Fall from 1.4667 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689. Deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3855 support turned resistance holds. However, sustained break of 1.3855 will turn focus back to 1.4689 key resistance.

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