USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.42; (P) 108.68; (R1) 108.90; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 108.93 temporary top. Deep retreat could be seen to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 108.22) and below. But downside should be contained well above 106.48 support to bring another rise. On the upside, above 108.93 will target 109.31 key resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications next target will be 100% projection of 104.45 to 108.47 from 106.48 at 110.50.

In the bigger picture,strong support was seen from 104.62 again. Yet, there is no confirmation of medium term reversal. Corrective decline from 118.65 (Dec. 2016) could still extend lower. But in that case, we’d expect strong support above 98.97 (2016 low) to contain downside to bring rebound. Meanwhile, on the upside, break of 112.40 key resistance will be a strong sign of start of medium term up trend.

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