USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 114.44; (P) 114.81; (R1) 115.12; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as the consolidation from 115.49 temporary top extends. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out. But we’d expect strong support above 113.60 to contain downside and bring rise resumption. As noted before, corrective decline from 118.65 should have completed with a a double bottom pattern (111.58, 111.68). Above 115.49 should turn bias to the upside and pave the way for a test on 118.65. Decisive break there will extend whole rise from 98.97 and target 125.85 high next. On the downside, however, break of 113.60 will invalidate our view and turn bias back to the downside for 111.58/68 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. The impulsive structure of the rise from 98.97 suggests that the correction is completed and larger up trend is resuming. Decisive break of 125.85 will confirm and target 61.8% projection of 75.56 to 125.85 from 98.97 at 130.04 and then 135.20 long term resistance. Rejection from 125.85 and below will extend the consolidation with another falling leg before up trend resumption.

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