Australian job market grew 39.1k in January, more than double of expectation of 15.2k. Full time jobs rose 65.4k to 8.M. Part-time jobs dropped -26.3k to 4.01M. Particular rate also rose 0.1% to 65.7% while unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.0%, a seven-year low. Also from Australian, CBA PMI manufacturing dropped to 53.1 in February, down from 53.9. CBA PMI services dropped into contraction region at 49.3, down from 51.0.
Australian Dollar was initially lifted by the employment data, but was then knocked down as Westpac forecasts RBA to cut interest rate in August and November. Westpac noted that “the forces around a slowing economy, falling house prices, and weak consumer spending are already apparent.” But RBA might take time to recognize this “persistence”.
The central bank’s decision to “accept the possibility that interest rates could fall further, despite the current record low levels, is profoundly important.” Westpac is now “confident” that if their growth profile does evolve, RBA will be “prepared to act”.
