Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9968; (P) 1.0004; (R1) 1.0032; More…
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the downside as correction from 1.0056 short term top would extend. Break of 4 hour 55 EMA will bring deeper pull back to trend line support (now at 0.9764). At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rally resumption. On the upside, sustained break of 1.0037 will resume recent rise for 1.0342 key resistance next.
In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.
